In the last days Nigel Farage refused again to withdraw Brexit Party candidates from marginal Labour seats. As shown in the last article on this blog there are very slim swing votes necessary to get Labour out in those seats. Sometimes not even 100 votes made the difference in 2017. Boris Johnson offered the Brexit Party 40 seats if in turn they support him in these marginal Labour seats.
At the same time the Brexit Party supporters published a twitter feed @Brexitkitemark showing the seats the CON can never win and where the LEAVE vote is very high.
I therefore repeat my appeal to enter into to local election pacts. This should be done by Brexit Party candidates publicly declaring the course of action shown in this article by me and others .
This seats need only 5 % swing vote to get Labour out by the CON. And the number of voters is a joke.
View Labour target seats for the next general election.
This seats need much more than a 5 % in a swing vote for Brexit Party to get Labour out. However, it is possible if in turn the CON candidate declares his support for the Brexit Party in his seat. The seats are on twitter @Brexitkitemark
This table is from https://blog.leavealliance.org/top-50-targets-for-the-brexit-party/
It shows that the CON have nothing to lose in those seats
At the same time the Brexit Party supporters published a twitter feed @Brexitkitemark showing the seats the CON can never win and where the LEAVE vote is very high.
I therefore repeat my appeal to enter into to local election pacts. This should be done by Brexit Party candidates publicly declaring the course of action shown in this article by me and others .
This seats need only 5 % swing vote to get Labour out by the CON. And the number of voters is a joke.
Labour Defence 2019
Below is the Labour defence list consisting of Labour held marginal seats for the 2019 general election. These marginal constituencies are ordered from the smallest to the largest swing to be defeated by the largest opposition party. http://www.electionpolling.co.uk/battleground/defence/labour#UKParliamentView Labour target seats for the next general election.
| Rank | Constituency | Region | Majority | Swing to Defeat |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Kensington | London | 20 | 0.03% |
| 2. | Dudley North | West Midlands | 22 | 0.03% |
| 3. | Newcastle-under-Lyme | West Midlands | 30 | 0.03% |
| 4. | Crewe and Nantwich | North West | 48 | 0.04% |
| 5. | Canterbury | South East | 187 | 0.16% |
| 6. | Barrow and Furness | North West | 209 | 0.22% |
| 7. | Keighley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 249 | 0.24% |
| 8. | Rutherglen and Hamilton West | Scotland | 265 | 0.26% |
| 9. | Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath | Scotland | 259 | 0.28% |
| 10. | Glasgow North East | Scotland | 242 | 0.38% |
| 11. | Ashfield | East Midlands | 441 | 0.44% |
| 12. | Stroud | South West | 687 | 0.54% |
| 13. | Bishop Auckland | North East | 502 | 0.58% |
| 14. | Peterborough | East of England | 607 | 0.64% |
| 15. | Colne Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 915 | 0.76% |
| 16. | Ipswich | East of England | 831 | 0.81% |
| 17. | Bedford | East of England | 789 | 0.81% |
| 18. | Stockton South | North East | 888 | 0.82% |
| 19. | Midlothian | Scotland | 885 | 0.98% |
| 20. | Warwick and Leamington | West Midlands | 1,206 | 1.12% |
| 21. | Penistone and Stocksbridge | Yorkshire and the Humber | 1,322 | 1.33% |
| 22. | Lincoln | East Midlands | 1,538 | 1.58% |
| 23. | Portsmouth South | South East | 1,554 | 1.74% |
| 24. | Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill | Scotland | 1,586 | 1.76% |
| 25. | Sheffield Hallam | Yorkshire and the Humber | 2,125 | 1.86% |
| 26. | Warrington South | North West | 2,549 | 2.06% |
| 27. | Derby North | East Midlands | 2,015 | 2.07% |
| 28. | High Peak | East Midlands | 2,322 | 2.16% |
| 29. | Battersea | London | 2,416 | 2.19% |
| 30. | Wakefield | Yorkshire and the Humber | 2,176 | 2.35% |
| 31. | Wolverhampton South West | West Midlands | 2,185 | 2.58% |
| 32. | Wrexham | Wales | 1,832 | 2.61% |
| 33. | East Lothian | Scotland | 3,083 | 2.76% |
| 34. | Stoke-on-Trent North | West Midlands | 2,359 | 2.82% |
| 35. | Dewsbury | Yorkshire and the Humber | 3,321 | 2.94% |
| 36. | Vale of Clwyd | Wales | 2,379 | 3.07% |
| 37. | Reading East | South East | 3,749 | 3.39% |
| 38. | Gower | Wales | 3,269 | 3.59% |
| 39. | Blackpool South | North West | 2,523 | 3.61% |
| 40. | Great Grimsby | Yorkshire and the Humber | 2,565 | 3.61% |
| 41. | Darlington | North East | 3,280 | 3.66% |
| 42. | Weaver Vale | North West | 3,928 | 3.88% |
| 43. | Rother Valley | Yorkshire and the Humber | 3,882 | 3.92% |
| 44. | Cardiff North | Wales | 4,174 | 4.01% |
| 45. | Bolton North East | North West | 3,797 | 4.20% |
| 46. | Scunthorpe | Yorkshire and the Humber | 3,431 | 4.27% |
| 47. | Bristol North West | South West | 4,761 | 4.40% |
| 48. | Enfield Southgate | London | 4,355 | 4.51% |
| 49. | Gedling | East Midlands | 4,694 | 4.54% |
| 50. | Leeds North West | Yorkshire and the Humber | 4,224 | 4.56% |
| 51. | Bury North | North West | 4,375 | 4.57% |
| 52. | Bassetlaw | East Midlands | 4,852 | 4.64% |
| 53. | Workington | North West | 3,925 | 4.71% |
| 54. | Croydon Central | London | 5,652 | 4.95% |
This seats need much more than a 5 % in a swing vote for Brexit Party to get Labour out. However, it is possible if in turn the CON candidate declares his support for the Brexit Party in his seat. The seats are on twitter @Brexitkitemark
This table is from https://blog.leavealliance.org/top-50-targets-for-the-brexit-party/
It shows that the CON have nothing to lose in those seats
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